Moontowermeta
Book A Meeting
About Me
Subscribe
MoontowerMeta Public Notion/
All Moontower Meta Blog Posts
All Moontower Meta Blog Posts
/
Numeracy & Decision-Making

Numeracy & Decision-Making

  • Lessons From The Layup – Corner 3 Spread
  • How much to wager when you have edge? (Hint: median not mean outcomes!)
  • Percents Are Tricky
  • Tails Explained
  • Fun Analogy Between Combinations and a Correlation Matrix
  • Chart Crimes
  • Longitudinal Studies > Snapshot Studies
  • Berkson’s Paradox
  • Jensen’s Inequality As An Intuition Tool
  • The Monty Hall Problem Is More Than A Game
  • Innumeracy
  • Teach A Math Idea To Internalize It
  • Notes on Statistics Done Wrong
  • Notes on How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
  • What I learned about earthquakes from Nate Silver’s “Signal and the Noise”
  • In power law world”average” doesn’t exist
  • Overfitting the Wrong Lesson
  • I Felt Bad For Picking My 3rd Grader Off
  • There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills Part 1
  • There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills Part 2
  • The Benefits Of Betting Culture
  • Another Kind Of Mean
  • Trading Is A Team Sport
  • Digital Roots And Wonder
  • Repetition Economics
  • Calibrated Confidence
  • Brain Plug-In
  • If You Wait For All The Info You'll Be Too Late
  • Sports Analytics Books
  • Pitbulls (Formerly StockSlam) Testimonial
  • Trade or Tighten’
  • Growth rate = 70% * (doublings/years)
  • Learn Probability
  • one of the strangest phenomena I've ever seen
  • Mr. My Way
  • a riddle related to American-style options
  • “How did you solve that math problem?”
  • Dragonfly Eyes
  • Snippet on Random Sampling vs. Bias
notion image
  • Inoculate yourself against “persuasive” charts
  • value over replacement
notion image
  • Eagle-eyed chart reader
  • the right bogey: trades that seem compelling but aren’t and vice versa