Runs: 500
Stats
RV mean: 26.91%
RV st dev: 1.21%
mean
RV-IV
: +1.91 vol pointsP/L mean: +2.05 vol points
P/L st dev: 1.65 vol points
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2 points of outperformance predicts earning 2 vega point with a standard deviation of 1.65 points.
Again with RV and IV being close together, the red and black lines are very similar.